China and Russia’s new military game
However, this military game script was written before the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, probably in 2021, according to which 38 countries of the world are going to conduct military exercises, according to which 12 countries therefore own their own land. are Along with India, Iran itself, Uzbekistan and Venezuela, Niger and Rwanda are also participating in this joint military exercise. But we are now living in a new era, starting with the Ukraine war and the Taiwan crisis. In the past, Russia and China have held military exercises every year since 2005, but these were relatively short games and mostly focused on military exercises against terrorist acts, which recently occurred in Syria, or near the sea. was done against bandits. Horn of Africa, but now the military game has changed and so has its purpose.
The new thread of Moscow and Beijing
Now the question is what to do today? Will we see something like a massive increase in cooperation between Moscow and Beijing? And what kind of growth can it be? So far we can only guess what the purpose and signs of this new friendship are? All experts on this side of the Russian-Chinese border have noted the uncharacteristic language used in official remarks following the recent meeting of the two foreign ministers, Sergei Lavrov and Wang Yi, in Phnom Penh (Cambodia). Both countries have announced their intention to drastically increase almost everything from mutual trade to “resistance to Western hegemony”. This word is not limited to just words and if one tries to look deeply into this word, many things are revealed and the biggest thing is that Russia is now ready to become China’s younger brother and both of them are one. Second is the need and third, the common enemy of both is the US and its allies.
So will a new military alliance be formed?
The first and biggest guess is, if China and Russia are considering a new military alliance, how would it go? Until recently, the answer was “no need”. Because, the situation was not like that and by then Russia would not have attacked Ukraine and if Russia had not attacked Ukraine, it might never have needed to become China’s little brother, because technology matters. Russia is still ahead of China. And still China wants to buy a lot of Russian weapons. At the same time, Russia was still self-sufficient in terms of hardware. At the same time, the biggest threat to China regarding Taiwan is the sanctions of the US and Western countries, and if China did not try to occupy Taiwan, then Russia would not have any particular need, because China is also self-sufficient for its own needs. is dependent is At the same time, China can fight the war of Taiwan alone, but the matter will not be limited only to the war, this is also known to China and Russia. So both have no choice but to eat from the same plate.
How did China and Russia connect in ancient times?
Earlier, Russia did not need China in the production of arms, nor did China need Russia. Yes, China definitely wanted to buy a lot of weapons from Russia, like it bought the Russian S-400 missile system. However, after 1990, the situation for Russia changed rapidly. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Russia’s arms industry survived only because China placed a large number of arms orders for Russia and Russia was able to save its arms industry in the Soviet disaster. At the same time, China started arming itself by buying a large number of Russian weapons because China knew that it was not capable of producing such a quantity of weapons.
Now the old era is over
Due to various reasons the old era is now over and both countries have not only been able to develop hypersonic missiles but have also tested them. In general, China is now as strong as Russia in the production of fighter jets or missiles. China has gradually reduced the number of weapons it buys from Russia, and now Russian military experts are working to advance technologies that can attract China to its arms market and China’s interest in weapons. should At the same time, Russian scientists are also compiling a list of areas where Russia is lagging behind, such as in shipbuilding. Although the two countries agreed on a joint program of military contacts in December 2021, it is very modest and the program was drawn up before the Ukraine-Taiwan crisis and only lasts until 2025, that is, only three more years later. until the end.
Then the situation like 1954
Overall, the situation is similar to 1954, when Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev made his first visit to Beijing. At that time the USSR was very eager to strengthen China, but the first question the then President Mao asked his guest was how are you giving us the atom bomb? And then Khrushchev said “No, no”. There were many complications to consider. Moscow, at that time, was not ready for such drastic measures. The Soviet Union looked at this question with wonder at the time, with the emergence of a new reality, with dozens of newly independent nations entering the world stage, although they had no idea at the time of the size of the world to come. ..
Where is the new world going?
With a closer look, our world has now gone down a path with no clear idea of where things are going. You might think that the general idea is simply a resurgence of two opposing global camps, economically, ideologically and technologically isolated from each other. At least that’s what the West is thinking. The US Congress is actively promoting the idea, according to the AP news agency, to make the intelligence agency CIA a powerful “Chinese house”, as the State Department recently did. The essence of this idea is that the Middle East is no longer interesting and no longer dangerous, while China is both interesting and dangerous. Russia is, or should be, seen as a junior partner to China in American political thought, or at least promoted as a blow to Russian identity, its self-esteem, and the reputation of its nationalism.
What is the way forward for India?
Certainly the US response has brought China and Russia very close and the ‘alliance’ in which these two countries are bound in the new world order has become very complex and they need each other. So, following the strong path of non-alignment, India should now replace America, whose credibility has always been questionable! Although experts believe that India should increase its power first, it is no longer possible for India to move away from the US, as the Himalayas as well as the Indo-Pacific, the Bay of Bengal and the Indian Ocean are threatened. I am also coming.